UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
New Orleans, USA
19 Jul 2025
Featherweight
VS
60%
Ige
40%
Pitbull
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ige
Ige holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Pitbull has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ige has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Ige has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ige's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ige
Pitbull
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
67"
34+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ige
Pitbull
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
32.4
46.3
Performance Avg
28.3
42
Quality of Victory
25
53
Momentum Score
33
Ige
Pitbull
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
10
7
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance10
1Clinch1
6Ground0
Ige
Pitbull
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ige
Pitbull
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/30 fights
Chin rating based on
3/46 fights
Ige
Pitbull
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ige
Pitbull
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ige
Pitbull
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
IgePitbull
Strike Zones
Ige
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedPitbull
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ige targets the head (59% of attacks) — Pitbull absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Pitbull targets the head (91% of attacks) — Ige absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ige
RND
Pitbull
0/0R00/0
Ige · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Pitbull · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Ige · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 5.5Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesRating 6.8Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Pitbull · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Aaron PicoRating 5.6Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 5.2Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 7.1Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
