UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Middleweight
VS
49%
Gordon
51%
Samman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:08
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Samman
This is a genuine toss-up — Gordon at 49% vs Samman at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Gordon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Samman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gordon's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Samman has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gordon
Samman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+79"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gordon
Samman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.7
23.5
70.0
Performance Avg
56.8
100
Quality of Victory
55
22
Momentum Score
91
Gordon
Samman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
56%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Gordon
Samman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gordon
Samman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
5/17 fights
Gordon
Samman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
91
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Gordon
Samman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gordon
Samman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
GordonSamman
Strike Zones
Gordon
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSamman
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gordon targets the head (100% of attacks) — Samman absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Samman targets the head (75% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gordon
RND
Samman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gordon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Samman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Gordon · Last 4
L · Sub · R3
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris DempseyRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R2
Josh SammanRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Dhiego LimaRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
Samman · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Sub · R3
Tamdan McCroryRating 4Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
W · Sub · R1
Caio MagalhaesRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
W · KO · R2
Eddie GordonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
W · KO · R2
Kevin CaseyRating 5.2KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04