UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2022
Middleweight
VS
71%
Soriano
29%
Maximov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Soriano
Soriano is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Soriano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Soriano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Soriano's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Soriano
Maximov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+76"
33
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Soriano
Maximov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.8
21.9
52.0
Performance Avg
35.0
44
Quality of Victory
25
64
Momentum Score
56
Soriano
Maximov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.5
55%
Strike Accuracy
51%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
6
8
Body
1
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch5
9Ground4
Soriano
Maximov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Soriano
Maximov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Soriano
Maximov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
56
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Soriano
Maximov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Soriano
Maximov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
SorianoMaximov
Strike Zones
Soriano
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMaximov
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Soriano targets the body (89% of attacks) — Maximov absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Maximov targets the head (55% of attacks) — Soriano absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Soriano
RND
Maximov
0/0R00/0
Soriano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Maximov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Soriano · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Ramiz BrahimajRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 4.9Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Miguel BaezaRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R2
Dustin StoltzfusRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
Maximov · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R1
Andre PetroskiRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Cody BrundageRating 5Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09