UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
Vancouver, Canada
14 Sept 2019
Lightweight
VS
14%
Prepolec
86%
Hubbard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hubbard
Hubbard is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hubbard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Hubbard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Prepolec's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hubbard has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Prepolec
Hubbard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
36
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Prepolec
Hubbard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
5.0
31.7
0.0
Performance Avg
28.7
0
Quality of Victory
26
0
Momentum Score
41
Prepolec
Hubbard
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.6
33%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
7
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance6
1Clinch0
0Ground4
Prepolec
Hubbard
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Prepolec
Hubbard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
64
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/28 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Prepolec
Hubbard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
41
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Prepolec
Hubbard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Prepolec
Hubbard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
PrepolecHubbard
Strike Zones
Prepolec
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedHubbard
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Prepolec targets the head (75% of attacks) — Hubbard absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Hubbard targets the head (70% of attacks) — Prepolec absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Prepolec
RND
Hubbard
0/0R00/0
Prepolec · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Hubbard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Prepolec · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Drew DoberRating 5.2KO/TKO
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UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Nordine TalebRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
Hubbard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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