METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
Vancouver, Canada
14 Sept 2019
Lightweight
VS
9%
Prepolec
91%
Hubbard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Austin HubbardwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kyle Prepolec · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hubbard
→
Actual result
Hubbard wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hubbard is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hubbard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Risk flags
Prepolec's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hubbard has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PrepolecHubbard
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Prepolec
Hubbard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
37
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Prepolec
Hubbard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.2
31.7
0.0
Performance Avg
28.7
0
Quality of Victory
26
0
Momentum Score
41
Prepolec
Hubbard
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
1.0
0.0
Style: Volume
6.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
7
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance6
1Clinch0
0Ground4
Prepolec
Hubbard
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Prepolec
Hubbard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/28 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Prepolec
Hubbard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
41
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Prepolec
Hubbard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Prepolec
Hubbard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
PrepolecHubbard
Strike Zones
Prepolec
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedHubbard
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Prepolec targets the head (75% of attacks) — Hubbard absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Hubbard targets the head (70% of attacks) — Prepolec absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Prepolec
RND
Hubbard
0/0R00/0
Prepolec · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mateusz RebeckiKO/TKO
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L · KO · R3
Drew DoberKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Benoit Saint DenisSubmission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Nordine TalebDecision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
Hubbard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
RongzhuDecision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
MarQuel MederosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Michal FiglakDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Kurt HolobaughSubmission
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