UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2
Belfast, United Kingdom
19 Nov 2016
Flyweight
VS
81%
Horiguchi
19%
Bagautinov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Kyoji
Kyoji Horiguchi
"Karate Kid"
36 – 5
5'4"63" reachOrthodox35 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 64
AB
Ali Bagautinov
"Puncher"
15 – 6
Well-Rounded40 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'4"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Horiguchi

Horiguchi is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Horiguchi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Horiguchi
Bagautinov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
63"
Reach
+65"
35+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Horiguchi
Bagautinov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
15.5
56.7
Performance Avg
41.6
34
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
45
Horiguchi
Bagautinov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
40%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
4
0
Body
4
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance10
20Clinch2
0Ground0
Horiguchi
Bagautinov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Horiguchi
Bagautinov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/41 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Horiguchi
Bagautinov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Horiguchi
Bagautinov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Horiguchi
Bagautinov
Striking4.0 / 3.6Volume7.1 / 7.1Grappling2.5 / 1.8Wrestling1.7 / 1.3Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Horiguchi
Strike Zones
Bagautinov
Horiguchi
Attacking
32HEAD0BODY2LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY4LEGS12 absorbed
Bagautinov
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY4LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD0BODY2LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Horiguchi targets the head (94% of attacks) — Bagautinov absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Bagautinov targets the head (33% of attacks) — Horiguchi absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Horiguchi
RND
Bagautinov
0/0R00/0

Horiguchi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.0L4.5W4.5W4.5W6.6W5.8W2013-102015-012016-052026-02
WinLossTrend

Bagautinov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5W4.6W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W7.0L2013-092014-022015-102016-11
WinLossTrend

Horiguchi · Last 5

Upcoming
Manel Kape
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Amir AlbaziRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Sub · R3
Tagir UlanbekovRating 6.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ali BagautinovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05

Bagautinov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Geane HerreraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
L · Dec · R5
Demetrious JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
John LinekerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

News & Media

Kyoji Horiguchi · Ali Bagautinov
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