Kyoji Horiguchi vs Ali Bagautinov — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2

Belfast, United Kingdom

19 Nov 2016

Flyweight

79%

Horiguchi

21%

Bagautinov

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Kyoji Horiguchi

"Karate Kid"

36 – 5

5'4"63" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 61

Ali Bagautinov

"Puncher"

15 – 6

Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'4"

CFR 16

★ Official Result

Kyoji HoriguchiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Ali Bagautinov · UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Horiguchi

→

Actual result

Horiguchi wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Horiguchi is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Horiguchi's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

HoriguchiBagautinov

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Horiguchi

Bagautinov

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'4"

Height

5'4"

63"

Reach

+65"

35+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Horiguchi

Bagautinov

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

60.6

15.8

53.7

Performance Avg

42.7

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Horiguchi

Bagautinov

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.9

/ 10

3.6

/ 10

4.8

Style: Pressure

3.5

7.0

Style: Volume

7.1

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

14Distance10

20Clinch2

0Ground0

Horiguchi

Bagautinov

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.5

/ 10

1.8

/ 10

1.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.3

1.1

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Horiguchi

Bagautinov

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R3.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

11/41 fights

Chin rating based on

7/21 fights

Horiguchi

Bagautinov

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

L · KO · R3

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R3

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R3

Horiguchi

Bagautinov

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

25%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Horiguchi

Bagautinov

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.6

2.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.8

1.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.3

1.1

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

4.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.5

7.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.1

Horiguchi

Strike Zones

Bagautinov

Horiguchi

Attacking

34 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Bagautinov

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

34 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Horiguchi targets the head (94% of attacks) — Bagautinov absorbs 94% of strikes there

🎯Bagautinov targets the head (33% of attacks) — Horiguchi absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Horiguchi

RND

Bagautinov

0/0R00/0

Horiguchi · Last 5

L · KO · R3

Manel Kape

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

W · Dec · R3

Amir Albazi

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02

W · Sub · R3

Tagir Ulanbekov

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

W · Dec · R3

Ali Bagautinov

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11

W · Dec · R3

Neil Seery

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05

Bagautinov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Kyoji Horiguchi

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11

W · Dec · R3

Geane Herrera

Decision

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06

L · Dec · R3

Joseph Benavidez

Decision

UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10

L · Dec · R5

Demetrious Johnson

Decision

UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06

W · Dec · R3

John Lineker

Decision

UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

News & Media

Kyoji Horiguchi · Ali Bagautinov

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