UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
Atlanta, USA
21 Apr 2012
Lightweight
VS
52%
Danzig
48%
Escudero
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MD
Mac Danzig
21 – 12
5'8"70" reachOrthodox46 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
EE
Efrain Escudero
"Hecho En Mexico"
28 – 12
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Danzig

This is a genuine toss-up — Danzig at 52% vs Escudero at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Danzig has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Danzig's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Escudero has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Danzig
Escudero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+71"
46
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Danzig
Escudero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.9
16.8
46.0
Performance Avg
48.3
51
Quality of Victory
53
65
Momentum Score
40
Danzig
Escudero
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.8
53%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
11
12
Body
8
8
Leg
5
RangeRange
23Distance19
7Clinch5
0Ground0
Danzig
Escudero
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Danzig
Escudero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
66
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
12/40 fights
Danzig
Escudero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Danzig
Escudero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Danzig
Escudero
Striking2.8 / 2.8Volume4.0 / 5.6Grappling4.2 / 3.0Wrestling2.9 / 2.1Submission4.0 / 2.0Pressure5.3 / 4.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Danzig
Strike Zones
Escudero
Danzig
Attacking
10HEAD12BODY8LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD8BODY5LEGS24 absorbed
Escudero
Attacking
11HEAD8BODY5LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD12BODY8LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Danzig targets the body (40% of attacks) — Escudero absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Escudero targets the head (46% of attacks) — Danzig absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Danzig
RND
Escudero
0/0R00/0

Danzig · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.5W6.0L2.8L5.9L4.5W1.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L5.5L2007-122009-072011-102013-12
WinLossTrend

Escudero · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.0W4.0L4.5W5.4L5.5L5.5L5.6L4.5W6.2W5.5L5.5L2008-122010-052012-042015-062016-04
WinLossTrend

Danzig · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joe LauzonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · KO · R2
Melvin GuillardRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt WimanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

Escudero · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin LeeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Sub · R1
Drew DoberRating 6.2
Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo de LimaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo SantosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09

News & Media

Mac Danzig · Efrain Escudero
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