METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Las Vegas, USA
10 Feb 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
21%
Pauga
79%
Guskov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:38
★ Official Result
Bogdan GuskovwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:38
def. Zac Pauga · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guskov
→
Actual result
Guskov wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Guskov is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 52 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Guskov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Risk flags
Pauga's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Guskov has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PaugaGuskov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pauga
Guskov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
76"
38
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pauga
Guskov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
71.1
25.0
Performance Avg
60.3
25
Quality of Victory
56
22
Momentum Score
100
Pauga
Guskov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
8.8
/ 10
0.8
Style: Pressure
9.0
8.5
Style: Volume
1.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
10
2
Body
0
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance10
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Pauga
Guskov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pauga
Guskov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Pauga
Guskov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Pauga
Guskov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pauga
Guskov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
PaugaGuskov
Strike Zones
Pauga
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedGuskov
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pauga targets the legs (47% of attacks) — Guskov absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Guskov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pauga absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pauga
RND
Guskov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pauga · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Bogdan GuskovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Jordan WrightDecision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Mohammed UsmanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
Guskov · Last 5
L · KO · R5
Magomed AnkalaevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
Upcoming
Jan BlachowiczDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaSubmission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R2
Ryan SpannKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04