UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
Ottawa, Canada
4 May 2019
Middleweight
VS
67%
Brunson
33%
Theodorou
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DB
Derek Brunson
"The One"
23 – 9
6'1"77" reachSouthpaw42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
ET
Elias Theodorou
"The Spartan"
16 – 3
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brunson

Brunson holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Theodorou has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Brunson throws more volume but Theodorou connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Brunson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brunson
Theodorou
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
75"
42
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Brunson
Theodorou
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.2
20.2
54.7
Performance Avg
52.0
47
Quality of Victory
38
72
Momentum Score
80
Brunson
Theodorou
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
44%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
10
3
Body
7
4
Leg
7
RangeRange
19Distance20
1Clinch4
0Ground0
Brunson
Theodorou
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brunson
Theodorou
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
6
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/32 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Brunson
Theodorou
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Brunson
Theodorou
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
25%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brunson
Theodorou
Striking6.3 / 4.0Volume4.2 / 7.5Grappling2.0 / 1.8Wrestling1.4 / 1.3Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
Brunson
Strike Zones
Theodorou
Brunson
Attacking
13HEAD3BODY4LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD7BODY7LEGS24 absorbed
Theodorou
Attacking
10HEAD7BODY7LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD3BODY4LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brunson targets the head (65% of attacks) — Theodorou absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Theodorou targets the head (42% of attacks) — Brunson absorbs 42% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brunson
RND
Theodorou
0/0R00/0

Brunson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W4.0L4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W2.4L5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L2.9L4.5W4.5W6.9W5.1W5.2W3.7L4.7L2012-122016-022018-012021-092023-03
WinLossTrend

Theodorou · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W4.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.3W5.8L2014-042015-122017-072018-122019-05
WinLossTrend

Brunson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Sub · R3
Darren TillRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R5
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · KO · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08

Theodorou · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07

News & Media

Derek Brunson · Elias Theodorou
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