METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
Ottawa, Canada
4 May 2019
Middleweight
VS
59%
Brunson
41%
Theodorou
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Derek BrunsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Elias Theodorou · UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brunson
→
Actual result
Brunson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Brunson at 59% vs Theodorou at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Brunson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrunsonTheodorou
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brunson
Theodorou
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
75"
42
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Brunson
Theodorou
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.4
20.2
54.7
Performance Avg
52.0
47
Quality of Victory
38
72
Momentum Score
80
Brunson
Theodorou
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.3
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
3.9
4.2
Style: Volume
7.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
10
3
Body
7
4
Leg
7
RangeRange
19Distance20
1Clinch4
0Ground0
Brunson
Theodorou
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brunson
Theodorou
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
6
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/32 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Brunson
Theodorou
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Brunson
Theodorou
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
25%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brunson
Theodorou
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
BrunsonTheodorou
Strike Zones
Brunson
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTheodorou
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brunson targets the head (65% of attacks) — Theodorou absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Theodorou targets the head (42% of attacks) — Brunson absorbs 42% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brunson
RND
Theodorou
0/0R00/0
Brunson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisKO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierKO/TKO
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Sub · R3
Darren TillSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R5
Kevin HollandDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · KO · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08
Theodorou · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersDecision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07