Julija Stoliarenko vs Chelsea Chandler — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan

Las Vegas, USA

1 Oct 2022

Catch Weight

44%

Stoliarenko

56%

Chandler

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 4:15

Julija Stoliarenko

11 – 10

5'7"66" reachOrthodox33 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter

CFR 42

Chelsea Chandler

6 – 4

Well-Rounded35 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'8"

CFR 53

★ Official Result

Chelsea ChandlerwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:15

def. Julija Stoliarenko · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Chandler

→

Actual result

Chandler wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Stoliarenko at 44% vs Chandler at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Stoliarenko's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

StoliarenkoChandler

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Stoliarenko

Chandler

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"

Height

+5'8"

66"

Reach

+68"

33+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Stoliarenko

Chandler

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

41.9

53.2

41.3

Performance Avg

47.8

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Stoliarenko

Chandler

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.4

/ 10

4.3

/ 10

7.7

Style: Pressure

6.2

0.4

Style: Volume

3.7

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

12Distance17

0Clinch0

0Ground21

Stoliarenko

Chandler

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

8.0

/ 10

3.5

/ 10

5.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.4

10.0

Submission Style (/10)

3.3

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Stoliarenko

Chandler

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

9/21 fights

Chin rating based on

7/10 fights

Stoliarenko

Chandler

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R3

W · Sub · R1

L · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Sub · R1

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Stoliarenko

Chandler

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

67%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stoliarenko

Chandler

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

0.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.3

8.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.5

5.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.4

10.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.3

7.7

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.2

0.4

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.7

Stoliarenko

Strike Zones

Chandler

Stoliarenko

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

38 absorbed

Chandler

Attacking

38 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Stoliarenko targets the head (42% of attacks) — Chandler absorbs 42% of strikes there

🎯Chandler targets the head (89% of attacks) — Stoliarenko absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stoliarenko

RND

Chandler

0/0R00/0

Stoliarenko · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Gabriella Fernandes

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08

L · KO · R3

Luana Carolina

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02

W · Sub · R1

Molly McCann

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

L · KO · R1

Chelsea Chandler

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10

W · Sub · R1

Jessica-Rose Clark

Submission

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Chandler · Last 5

Upcoming

Melissa Croden

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W · Sub · R1

Priscila Cachoeira

Submission

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L · KO · R1

Joselyne Edwards

KO/TKO

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L · Dec · R3

Yana Santos

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

W · Dec · R3

Josiane Nunes

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03

News & Media

Julija Stoliarenko · Chelsea Chandler

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