Geoff Neal vs Mike Perry — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington

Las Vegas, USA

14 Dec 2019

Welterweight

77%

Neal

23%

Perry

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 1:30

Geoff Neal

"Handz of Steel"

16 – 8

5'11"75" reachSouthpaw36 yrs2-fight slideStriker

CFR 56

Mike Perry

"Platinum"

14 – 8

Striker2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"

CFR 16

★ Official Result

Geoff NealwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:30

def. Mike Perry · UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Neal

→

Actual result

Neal wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Neal is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Neal's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Perry has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

NealPerry

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Neal

Perry

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'11"+

Height

5'10"

75"+

Reach

71"

Age

+34

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Neal

Perry

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

55.8

16.4

51.7

Performance Avg

44.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Neal

Perry

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.4

/ 10

6.7

/ 10

7.0

Style: Pressure

5.4

3.1

Style: Volume

4.4

5 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

12Distance5

0Clinch0

3Ground0

Neal

Perry

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.6

/ 10

1.0

/ 10

1.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.7

1.3

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Neal

Perry

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

3 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

14/24 fights

Chin rating based on

15/22 fights

Neal

Perry

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R1

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

Neal

Perry

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

75%

57%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Neal

Perry

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

6.7

1.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.0

1.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.7

1.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

7.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.4

3.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.4

Neal

Strike Zones

Perry

Neal

Attacking

15 landed

Absorbing

5 absorbed

Perry

Attacking

5 landed

Absorbing

15 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Neal targets the head (80% of attacks) — Perry absorbs 80% of strikes there

🎯Perry targets the body (40% of attacks) — Neal absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Neal

RND

Perry

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Neal · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Uros Medic

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02

L · KO · R1

Carlos Prates

KO/TKO

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

W · KO · R1

Rafael Dos Anjos

KO/TKO

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

L · Dec · R3

Ian Machado Garry

Decision

UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

L · Sub · R3

Shavkat Rakhmonov

Submission

UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Perry · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Daniel Rodriguez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04

L · Dec · R3

Tim Means

Decision

UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11

W · Dec · R3

Mickey Gall

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06

L · KO · R1

Geoff Neal

KO/TKO

UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12

L · Dec · R3

Vicente Luque

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08

News & Media

Geoff Neal · Mike Perry

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