UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson
Ottawa, Canada
18 Jun 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Bosse
43%
O'Connell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bosse
This is a genuine toss-up — Bosse at 57% vs O'Connell at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
O'Connell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
O'Connell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
O'Connell has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bosse
O'Connell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+74"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bosse
O'Connell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.9
15.6
52.2
Performance Avg
44.4
43
Quality of Victory
55
85
Momentum Score
26
Bosse
O'Connell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.4
43%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
32
1
Body
7
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
27Distance37
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Bosse
O'Connell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bosse
O'Connell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
30
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/14 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Bosse
O'Connell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
26
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Bosse
O'Connell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bosse
O'Connell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
BosseO'Connell
Strike Zones
Bosse
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedO'Connell
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bosse targets the head (93% of attacks) — O'Connell absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯O'Connell targets the head (80% of attacks) — Bosse absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bosse
RND
O'Connell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bosse · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
O'Connell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Bosse · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Sean O'ConnellRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R1
James Te HunaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
O'Connell · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Corey AndersonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Steve BosseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R1
Ilir LatifiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
W · KO · R3
Matt Van BurenRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01