UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
Las Vegas, USA
8 Aug 2020
Women's Bantamweight
VS
47%
Santos
53%
Stoliarenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stoliarenko
This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 47% vs Stoliarenko at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Stoliarenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stoliarenko has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Santos
Stoliarenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
68"+
Reach
66"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Stoliarenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.0
41.9
38.3
Performance Avg
41.3
25
Quality of Victory
54
55
Momentum Score
20
Santos
Stoliarenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
6
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance3
4Clinch0
1Ground0
Santos
Stoliarenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Stoliarenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
36
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Santos
Stoliarenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
20
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Santos
Stoliarenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Stoliarenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
1.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
9.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
SantosStoliarenko
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedStoliarenko
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (50% of attacks) — Stoliarenko absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Stoliarenko targets the head (67% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Stoliarenko
0/0R00/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Stoliarenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 5.8Decision
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Stoliarenko · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriella FernandesRating 5.9Decision
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