METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber
Las Vegas, USA
31 May 2025
Middleweight
VS
57%
Reese
43%
Todorovic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Zach ReesewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dusko Todorovic · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Reese
→
Actual result
Reese wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Reese at 57% vs Todorovic at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Todorovic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Reese's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Todorovic has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ReeseTodorovic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reese
Todorovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
74"
32
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Reese
Todorovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
39.1
43.9
Performance Avg
48.1
40
Quality of Victory
56
88
Momentum Score
0
Reese
Todorovic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
8.2
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
8.1
5.0
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
12
10
Body
3
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
26Distance16
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Reese
Todorovic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reese
Todorovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Reese
Todorovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Reese
Todorovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reese
Todorovic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
ReeseTodorovic
Strike Zones
Reese
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTodorovic
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reese targets the head (41% of attacks) — Todorovic absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Todorovic targets the head (71% of attacks) — Reese absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reese
RND
Todorovic
0/0R00/0
Reese · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ryan GandraKO/TKO
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Jackson McVeySubmission
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Upcoming
Sedriques DumasNoche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Dusko TodorovicDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
Todorovic · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Robert ValentinSubmission
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W · Sub · R1
Jose Daniel MedinaSubmission
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Mansur Abdul-MalikKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
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