UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till
Las Vegas, USA
4 Sept 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Bukauskas
51%
Jr.
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:30
Modestas
Modestas Bukauskas
"The Baltic Gladiator"
20 – 7
6'3"76" reachSwitch32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Khalil
Khalil Rountree Jr.
15 – 7
Striker36 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'1"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jr.

This is a genuine toss-up — Bukauskas at 49% vs Jr. at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Jr. throws more volume but Bukauskas connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Bukauskas's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jr. has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bukauskas
Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
76"
32+
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Bukauskas
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.5
53.7
49.0
Performance Avg
52.0
41
Quality of Victory
48
81
Momentum Score
77
Bukauskas
Jr.
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
43%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
5Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bukauskas
Jr.
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bukauskas
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/27 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Bukauskas
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
77
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Bukauskas
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
70%
3
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bukauskas
Jr.
Striking5.0 / 8.2Volume5.2 / 3.6Grappling2.2 / 0.7Wrestling1.5 / 0.5Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Bukauskas
Strike Zones
Jr.
Bukauskas
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY6LEGS10 absorbed
Jr.
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY6LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bukauskas targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jr. targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Bukauskas absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bukauskas
RND
Jr.
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Bukauskas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W3.0L6.5L3.7L5.5W4.5W3.9L5.9W5.0W4.8W5.7W5.2L4.5W2020-072023-022025-022026-05
WinLossTrend

Jr. · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L2.5L5.0W5.7W5.0W2.3L5.3W1.8L5.9L6.1W5.2W5.9W5.3W6.7W5.5L5.8W5.7L2016-072018-112022-032025-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Bukauskas · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Christian EdwardsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Nikita KrylovRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Paul CraigRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Ion CutelabaRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Rafael CerqueiraRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

Jr. · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Alex PereiraRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

News & Media

Modestas Bukauskas · Khalil Rountree Jr.
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