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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till
Las Vegas, USA
4 Sept 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Bukauskas
49%
Jr.
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:30
Modestas
Modestas Bukauskas
"The Baltic Gladiator"
207
6'3"76" reachSwitch32 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 56
Khalil
Khalil Rountree Jr.
157
Striker36 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'1"
CFR 54
★ Official Result
Khalil Rountree Jr.winsKO/TKOR2 · 2:30
def. Modestas Bukauskas · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bukauskas
Actual result
Jr. wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Bukauskas at 51% vs Jr. at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Bukauskas's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jr. has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BukauskasJr.
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Bukauskas
Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
76"
32+
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Bukauskas
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.8
53.7
51.0
Performance Avg
52.0
42
Quality of Victory
48
94
Momentum Score
77
Bukauskas
Jr.
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
8.2
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
6.7
4.8
Style: Volume
3.6
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
5Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bukauskas
Jr.
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bukauskas
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Bukauskas
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
77
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Bukauskas
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
70%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bukauskas
Jr.
Striking5.7 / 8.2Volume4.8 / 3.6Grappling2.0 / 0.7Wrestling1.4 / 0.5Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Bukauskas
Strike Zones
Jr.
Bukauskas
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY6LEGS10 absorbed
Jr.
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY6LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bukauskas targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jr. targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Bukauskas absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bukauskas
RND
Jr.
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Bukauskas · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Oumar Sy
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Christian Edwards
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Nikita Krylov
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Paul Craig
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Ion Cutelaba
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05

Jr. · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Jiri Prochazka
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Jamahal Hill
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Alex Pereira
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R3
Anthony Smith
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · KO · R1
Chris Daukaus
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

News & Media

Modestas Bukauskas · Khalil Rountree Jr.
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