UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger
Omaha, USA
15 Feb 2012
Lightweight
VS
48%
Kuivanen
52%
Salas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AK
Anton Kuivanen
24 – 10
5'8"72" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 12
JS
Justin Salas
"J-Bomb"
12 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Salas

This is a genuine toss-up — Kuivanen at 48% vs Salas at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Salas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Salas throws more volume but Kuivanen connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Salas has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Kuivanen
Salas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
70"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Kuivanen
Salas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.5
12.7
28.3
Performance Avg
39.1
25
Quality of Victory
37
40
Momentum Score
35
Kuivanen
Salas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
3
Body
6
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance3
2Clinch2
0Ground8
Kuivanen
Salas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kuivanen
Salas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
22
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/34 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Kuivanen
Salas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
35
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Kuivanen
Salas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kuivanen
Salas
Striking0.7 / 4.2Volume8.7 / 6.2Grappling2.4 / 1.6Wrestling1.7 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Kuivanen
Strike Zones
Salas
Kuivanen
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD6BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Salas
Attacking
7HEAD6BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kuivanen targets the head (56% of attacks) — Salas absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Salas targets the head (54% of attacks) — Kuivanen absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kuivanen
RND
Salas
0/0R00/0

Kuivanen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.5L4.5W3.5L2012-022012-072013-02
WinLossTrend

Salas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.1
0104.5W1.6L4.5W1.5L5.0W2.8L1.5L2012-022013-072014-052016-03
WinLossTrend

Kuivanen · Last 3

L · Sub · R2
Michael ChiesaRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Mitch ClarkeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Justin SalasRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02

Salas · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jason SaggoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · KO · R2
Joe ProctorRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
W · KO · R1
Ben WallRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
L · Sub · R1
Thiago TavaresRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Aaron RileyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07

News & Media

Anton Kuivanen · Justin Salas
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