METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Chicago, USA
23 Jul 2016
Lightweight
VS
89%
Prazeres
11%
Cottrell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michel PrazereswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. JC Cottrell · UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Prazeres
→
Actual result
Prazeres wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Prazeres is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Prazeres has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PrazeresCottrell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Prazeres
Cottrell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
45
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Prazeres
Cottrell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
2.4
48.3
Performance Avg
0.0
33
Quality of Victory
0
85
Momentum Score
0
Prazeres
Cottrell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
7.0
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
6
10
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
36Distance8
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Prazeres
Cottrell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Prazeres
Cottrell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Prazeres
Cottrell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Prazeres
Cottrell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Prazeres
Cottrell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PrazeresCottrell
Strike Zones
Prazeres
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedCottrell
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Prazeres targets the head (73% of attacks) — Cottrell absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Cottrell targets the head (75% of attacks) — Prazeres absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Prazeres
RND
Cottrell
0/0R00/0
Prazeres · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Bartosz FabinskiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Cottrell · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Jason GonzalezSubmission
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
L · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresDecision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07