UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Chicago, USA
23 Jul 2016
Lightweight
VS
93%
Prazeres
7%
Cottrell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MP
Michel Prazeres
"Tractor"
26 – 4
5'6"67" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 31
JC
JC Cottrell
17 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox5'9"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Prazeres

Prazeres is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Prazeres has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.

Prazeres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Prazeres
Cottrell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
44
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Prazeres
Cottrell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.5
2.4
48.3
Performance Avg
0.0
33
Quality of Victory
0
85
Momentum Score
0
Prazeres
Cottrell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
25%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
6
10
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
36Distance8
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Prazeres
Cottrell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Prazeres
Cottrell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Prazeres
Cottrell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Prazeres
Cottrell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Prazeres
Cottrell
Striking1.4 / 0.0Volume7.0 / 0.0Grappling4.1 / 0.0Wrestling2.9 / 0.0Submission3.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Prazeres
Strike Zones
Cottrell
Prazeres
Attacking
27HEAD10BODY0LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Cottrell
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD10BODY0LEGS37 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Prazeres targets the head (73% of attacks) — Cottrell absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Cottrell targets the head (75% of attacks) — Prazeres absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Prazeres
RND
Cottrell
0/0R00/0

Prazeres · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.7W5.0W5.5W4.5W4.9W5.0W6.0L4.8L2013-052015-112017-092019-022021-06
WinLossTrend

Cottrell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.5L1.5L2016-072017-01
WinLossTrend

Prazeres · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Bartosz FabinskiRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

Cottrell · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Jason GonzalezRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
L · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07

News & Media

Michel Prazeres · JC Cottrell
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