UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
Brisbane, Australia
6 Dec 2013
Middleweight
VS
57%
Andrews
43%
Hester
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Andrews
This is a genuine toss-up — Andrews at 57% vs Hester at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Andrews has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Hester throws more volume but Andrews connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Andrews's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hester has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Andrews
Hester
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+77"
46
Age
+39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Andrews
Hester
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
15.3
49.0
Performance Avg
42.0
55
Quality of Victory
32
65
Momentum Score
61
Andrews
Hester
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
14
3
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance10
0Clinch1
0Ground5
Andrews
Hester
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrews
Hester
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
44
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Andrews
Hester
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
61
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · R2
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Andrews
Hester
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrews
Hester
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
AndrewsHester
Strike Zones
Andrews
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedHester
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrews targets the head (36% of attacks) — Hester absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Hester targets the head (88% of attacks) — Andrews absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrews
RND
Hester
0/0R00/0
Andrews · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Hester · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Andrews · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Brad ScottRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · KO · R1
Sam AlveyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
L · R2
Clint HesterRating 4.8UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
W · KO · R3
Papy AbediRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · KO · R1
Jimmy QuinlanRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04
Hester · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · KO · R2
Vitor MirandaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Antonio Braga NetoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Andy EnzRating 4.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02