UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
Barueri, Brazil
9 Oct 2013
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Silva
43%
Hamill
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TS
Thiago Silva
19 – 6
6'2"74" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 25
MH
Matt Hamill
"The Hammer"
12 – 8
Well-Rounded49 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 57% vs Hamill at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hamill has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Silva
Hamill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
+76"
43+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Hamill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.7
18.5
60.6
Performance Avg
51.9
54
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
63
Silva
Hamill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
47%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
7
3
Body
0
18
Leg
4
RangeRange
30Distance11
3Clinch0
3Ground0
Silva
Hamill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.3
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Hamill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
50
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
15/20 fights
Silva
Hamill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Hamill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Hamill
Striking10.0 / 6.3Volume2.5 / 4.5Grappling0.3 / 1.0Wrestling0.2 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.1 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Silva
Strike Zones
Hamill
Silva
Attacking
15HEAD3BODY18LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY4LEGS11 absorbed
Hamill
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY4LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD3BODY18LEGS36 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Hamill absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hamill targets the head (64% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Hamill
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W2007-052008-052010-012013-10
WinLossTrend

Hamill · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.2W4.0L5.2W5.0W5.8W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.5W5.5L2006-062008-042009-122011-082013-10
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Rafael CavalcanteRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
Upcoming
Stanislav Nedkov
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Alexander GustafssonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
Upcoming
Brandon Vera
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01

Hamill · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thiago SilvaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Roger HollettRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Alexander GustafssonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10

News & Media

Thiago Silva · Matt Hamill
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