METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
6 Oct 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
50%
Waterson-Gomez
50%
Herrig
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
"The Karate Hottie"
18 – 13
5'3"62" reachOrthodox40 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 27
★ Official Result
Michelle Waterson-GomezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Felice Herrig · UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Waterson-Gomez
→
Actual result
Waterson-Gomez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Waterson-Gomez at 50% vs Herrig at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Waterson-Gomez's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Waterson-GomezHerrig
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Waterson-Gomez
Herrig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
62"
Reach
+65"
40+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Waterson-Gomez
Herrig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
26.3
36.8
Performance Avg
41.4
35
Quality of Victory
36
0
Momentum Score
66
Waterson-Gomez
Herrig
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
4.3
6.1
Style: Volume
5.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
7
10
Body
8
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance5
13Clinch11
13Ground1
Waterson-Gomez
Herrig
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Waterson-Gomez
Herrig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
70
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/31 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Waterson-Gomez
Herrig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
66
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Waterson-Gomez
Herrig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Waterson-Gomez
Herrig
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
Waterson-GomezHerrig
Strike Zones
Waterson-Gomez
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedHerrig
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Waterson-Gomez targets the head (67% of attacks) — Herrig absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Herrig targets the body (47% of attacks) — Waterson-Gomez absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Waterson-Gomez
RND
Herrig
0/0R00/0
Waterson-Gomez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezKO/TKO
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Luana PinheiroDecision
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L · Sub · R2
Amanda LemosSubmission
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L · Dec · R5
Marina RodriguezDecision
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Herrig · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Karolina KowalkiewiczSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Sub · R1
Virna JandirobaSubmission
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezDecision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczDecision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyDecision
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