The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2013
Middleweight
VS
90%
Andrews
10%
Quinlan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Andrews
Andrews is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Andrews has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Quinlan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Andrews's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Andrews
Quinlan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
46
Age
+40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Andrews
Quinlan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
2.2
49.0
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Andrews
Quinlan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.8
50%
Strike Accuracy
70%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
5
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance7
4Clinch0
12Ground0
Andrews
Quinlan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Andrews
Quinlan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/25 fights
Chin rating based on
1/4 fights
Andrews
Quinlan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · R2
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Andrews
Quinlan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrews
Quinlan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AndrewsQuinlan
Strike Zones
Andrews
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedQuinlan
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrews targets the head (100% of attacks) — Quinlan absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Quinlan targets the head (71% of attacks) — Andrews absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrews
RND
Quinlan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Andrews · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Andrews · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Brad ScottRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · KO · R1
Sam AlveyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
L · R2
Clint HesterRating 4.8UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
W · KO · R3
Papy AbediRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · KO · R1
Jimmy QuinlanRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04
Quinlan · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Dylan AndrewsRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04
