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The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2013
Middleweight
VS
90%
Andrews
10%
Quinlan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:22
Dylan
Dylan Andrews
"The Villain"
187
6'1"74" reachSwitch46 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 20
JQ
Jimmy Quinlan
"Crash"
31
Well-Rounded40 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Dylan AndrewswinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:22
def. Jimmy Quinlan · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Andrews
Actual result
Andrews wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Andrews is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Andrews has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.

Quinlan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Andrews's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AndrewsQuinlan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Andrews
Quinlan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
46
Age
+40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Andrews
Quinlan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
2.2
49.0
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Andrews
Quinlan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
2.8
50%
Strike Accuracy
70%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
5
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance7
4Clinch0
12Ground0
Andrews
Quinlan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Andrews
Quinlan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
5/25 fights
Chin rating based on
1/4 fights
Andrews
Quinlan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · R2
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Andrews
Quinlan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Andrews
Quinlan
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume0.8 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.2 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Andrews
Strike Zones
Quinlan
Andrews
Attacking
20HEAD0BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Quinlan
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD0BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Andrews targets the head (100% of attacks) — Quinlan absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Quinlan targets the head (71% of attacks) — Andrews absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Andrews
RND
Quinlan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Andrews · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.0W5.5W4.8L1.5L2.8L2013-042013-082013-122014-112015-05
WinLossTrend

Andrews · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Brad ScottRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · KO · R1
Sam AlveyRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
L · R2
Clint HesterRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
W · KO · R3
Papy AbediRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · KO · R1
Jimmy QuinlanRating 5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04

Quinlan · Last 1

L · KO · R1
Dylan AndrewsRating 1.5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04

News & Media

Dylan Andrews · Jimmy Quinlan
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