UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
Sydney, Australia
26 Feb 2011
Middleweight
VS
52%
Ring
48%
Fukuda
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ring
This is a genuine toss-up — Ring at 52% vs Fukuda at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Fukuda has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Ring
Fukuda
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
73"
47
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Ring
Fukuda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.5
13.3
39.0
Performance Avg
31.0
32
Quality of Victory
25
35
Momentum Score
55
Ring
Fukuda
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.7
40%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
0
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch4
0Ground1
Ring
Fukuda
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ring
Fukuda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
5/33 fights
Ring
Fukuda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ring
Fukuda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ring
Fukuda
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
RingFukuda
Strike Zones
Ring
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedFukuda
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ring targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Fukuda absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Fukuda targets the head (71% of attacks) — Ring absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ring
RND
Fukuda
0/0R00/0
Ring · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Fukuda · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Ring · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Caio MagalhaesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 5.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5Decision
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Sub · R3
James HeadRating 5.5Submission
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
Fukuda · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
W · Dec · R3
Tom DeBlassRating 4.5Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Steve CantwellRating 4.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Nick RingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02