Bekzat Almakhan vs Jean Matsumoto — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres

Baku, Azerbaijan

27 Jun 2026

Bantamweight

49%

Almakhan

51%

Matsumoto

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Bekzat Almakhan

"The Turan Warrior"

12 – 3

5'7"68" reachOrthodox28 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist

CFR 53

Jean Matsumoto

17 – 2

Well-Rounded27 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"

CFR 55

★ Official Result

Jean MatsumotowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Bekzat Almakhan · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Matsumoto

Bekzat Almakhan wins by split decision via wrestling control in the championship…

→

Actual result

Matsumoto wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Almakhan's narrow CFR edge over Matsumoto makes this the closest fight on the Baku prelim card

Bekzat Almakhan (12-3) and Jean Matsumoto (17-2) represent a genuinely competitive welterweight contest. The CFR gap of 4.1 points is within noise margin, making this a fight defined by stylistic matchup rather than quality differential. Matsumoto's 17-2 record is impressive — a 17-fight win total at any level represents serious competence, and only two losses suggests he's been doing things righ…

Almakhan intel

Bekzat Almakhan is 12-3 with a CFR of 56.5. The Kazakh welterweight brings a solid all-round game and a marginal statistical edge that probably reflects real — if slim — quality advantage.

Matsumoto intel

Jean Matsumoto is 17-2 with a CFR of 52.4. The Brazilian's near-spotless record suggests genuine quality, and his two losses don't represent a pattern of failure against this tier of opposition.

Key angles

Almakhan's wrestling vs Matsumoto's comprehensive striking game

17-2 record for Matsumoto is a flag — he's been excellent against most opponents he's faced

Which fighter is more adaptable mid-fight?

Risk flags

Matsumoto's high win rate makes him a credible favourite by record; CFR says otherwise but only marginally

A wrestling-based game plan from Almakhan could struggle if Matsumoto's takedown defence is sharp

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

AlmakhanMatsumoto

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Almakhan

Matsumoto

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"+

Height

5'6"

68"

Reach

68"

Age

+27

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Almakhan

Matsumoto

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

53.0

55.1

46.0

Performance Avg

45.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Almakhan

Matsumoto

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

10.0

/ 10

1.3

/ 10

7.8

Style: Pressure

3.8

0.5

Style: Volume

7.3

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

18Distance24

2Clinch2

0Ground0

Almakhan

Matsumoto

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.0

/ 10

3.8

/ 10

0.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.7

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

2.5

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Almakhan

Matsumoto

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

4/15 fights

Chin rating based on

6/19 fights

Almakhan

Matsumoto

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Almakhan

Matsumoto

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

25%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Almakhan

Matsumoto

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

10.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.3

0.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.8

0.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.7

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.5

7.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.8

0.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.3

Almakhan

Strike Zones

Matsumoto

Almakhan

Attacking

20 landed

Absorbing

26 absorbed

Matsumoto

Attacking

26 landed

Absorbing

20 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Almakhan targets the head (90% of attacks) — Matsumoto absorbs 90% of strikes there

🎯Matsumoto targets the head (58% of attacks) — Almakhan absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Almakhan

RND

Matsumoto

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Almakhan · Last 4

L · Dec · R3

Jean Matsumoto

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06

L · Dec · R3

Aleksandre Topuria

Decision

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W · KO · R1

Brad Katona

KO/TKO

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L · Dec · R3

Umar Nurmagomedov

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

Matsumoto · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Bekzat Almakhan

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06

L · Dec · R3

Farid Basharat

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02

W · Dec · R3

Miles Johns

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08

L · Dec · R3

Rob Font

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

W · Dec · R3

Brad Katona

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Bekzat Almakhan · Jean Matsumoto

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