METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2013
Featherweight
VS
25%
Lawrence
75%
Pineda
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:35
JL
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Daniel PinedawinsSubmissionR1 · 1:35
def. Justin Lawrence · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pineda
→
Actual result
Pineda wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Pineda is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Lawrence's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pineda has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LawrencePineda
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lawrence
Pineda
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+69"
36+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lawrence
Pineda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
52.9
43.3
Performance Avg
47.4
50
Quality of Victory
53
43
Momentum Score
85
Lawrence
Pineda
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
8.2
0.7
Style: Volume
0.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Lawrence
Pineda
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
6.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
8.0
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lawrence
Pineda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
44
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/14 fights
Chin rating based on
14/45 fights
Lawrence
Pineda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
85
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Lawrence
Pineda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lawrence
Pineda
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
LawrencePineda
Strike Zones
Lawrence
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedPineda
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pineda targets the body (100% of attacks) — Lawrence absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lawrence
RND
Pineda
0/0R00/0
Lawrence · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Daniel PinedaSubmission
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L · KO · R2
Max HollowayKO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
John CoferKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
Pineda · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsDecision
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R2
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Upcoming
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