METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2011
Featherweight
VS
71%
Mendes
29%
Omigawa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CM
Chad Mendes
"Money"
185
5'6"66" reachOrthodox41 yrsStriker
CFR 21
MO
Michihiro Omigawa
1714
Well-Rounded2-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 9
★ Official Result
Chad MendeswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Michihiro Omigawa · UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mendes
Actual result
Mendes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Mendes is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Mendes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.

Risk flags

Mendes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MendesOmigawa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Mendes
Omigawa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+68"
41+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mendes
Omigawa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
8.7
54.7
Performance Avg
20.7
48
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
20
Mendes
Omigawa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
0.4
4.0
Style: Volume
8.3
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance8
0Clinch1
7Ground0
Mendes
Omigawa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mendes
Omigawa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/31 fights
Mendes
Omigawa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Mendes
Omigawa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mendes
Omigawa
Striking8.0 / 0.3Volume4.0 / 8.3Grappling0.8 / 2.4Wrestling0.6 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.6 / 0.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
Mendes
Strike Zones
Omigawa
Mendes
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Omigawa
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mendes targets the head (93% of attacks) — Omigawa absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Omigawa targets the head (78% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mendes
RND
Omigawa
0/0R00/0

Mendes · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander Volkanovski
KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles Jury
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie Edgar
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregor
KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo Lamas
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04

Omigawa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Manvel Gamburyan
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Dec · R3
Iuri Alcantara
Decision
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Jason Young
Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
L · Dec · R3
Darren Elkins
Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Chad Mendes
Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02

News & Media

Chad Mendes · Michihiro Omigawa
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