METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2011
Featherweight
VS
71%
Mendes
29%
Omigawa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chad MendeswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Michihiro Omigawa · UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mendes
→
Actual result
Mendes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Mendes is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mendes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Mendes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mendes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MendesOmigawa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mendes
Omigawa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+68"
41+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mendes
Omigawa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
8.7
54.7
Performance Avg
20.7
48
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
20
Mendes
Omigawa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.7
57%
Strike Accuracy
44%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance8
0Clinch1
7Ground0
Mendes
Omigawa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mendes
Omigawa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/31 fights
Mendes
Omigawa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Mendes
Omigawa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mendes
Omigawa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
MendesOmigawa
Strike Zones
Mendes
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedOmigawa
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mendes targets the head (93% of attacks) — Omigawa absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Omigawa targets the head (78% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mendes
RND
Omigawa
0/0R00/0
Mendes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Omigawa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Mendes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles JuryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
Omigawa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Dec · R3
Iuri AlcantaraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Jason YoungRating 4.5Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Chad MendesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02