UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Oklahoma City, USA
25 Jun 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
23%
Christensen
77%
Reyes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Reyes
Reyes is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reyes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Christensen's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reyes has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Christensen
Reyes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+77"
47
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Christensen
Reyes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
55.7
40.0
Performance Avg
56.3
50
Quality of Victory
49
43
Momentum Score
71
Christensen
Reyes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
55%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
10
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Christensen
Reyes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Christensen
Reyes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
10
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/20 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Christensen
Reyes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
71
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Christensen
Reyes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Christensen
Reyes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
ChristensenReyes
Strike Zones
Christensen
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedReyes
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Christensen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Reyes targets the head (77% of attacks) — Christensen absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Christensen
RND
Reyes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Christensen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Reyes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Christensen · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Gadzhimurad AntigulovRating 1.5Submission
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
W · KO · R3
Bojan MihajlovicRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · Sub · R2
Henrique da SilvaRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
Reyes · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R2
Anthony SmithRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06