METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Oklahoma City, USA
25 Jun 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
23%
Christensen
77%
Reyes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:29
★ Official Result
Dominick ReyeswinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:29
def. Joachim Christensen · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Reyes
→
Actual result
Reyes wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Reyes is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Christensen's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reyes has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChristensenReyes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Christensen
Reyes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+77"
47
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Christensen
Reyes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
55.7
40.0
Performance Avg
56.3
50
Quality of Victory
49
43
Momentum Score
71
Christensen
Reyes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
7.3
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
6.9
0.5
Style: Volume
3.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
10
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Christensen
Reyes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Christensen
Reyes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
10
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/20 fights
Chin rating based on
16/21 fights
Christensen
Reyes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
71
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Christensen
Reyes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Christensen
Reyes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
ChristensenReyes
Strike Zones
Christensen
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedReyes
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Christensen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Reyes targets the head (77% of attacks) — Christensen absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Christensen
RND
Reyes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Christensen · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Gadzhimurad AntigulovSubmission
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
W · KO · R3
Bojan MihajlovicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · Sub · R2
Henrique da SilvaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
Reyes · Last 5
Upcoming
Azamat MurzakanovUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R3
Johnny WalkerDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R2
Anthony SmithKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12