UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Las Vegas, USA
6 Mar 2021
Flyweight
VS
35%
Benavidez
65%
Askarov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Askarov
Askarov holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Benavidez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Benavidez throws more volume but Askarov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Benavidez's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Benavidez
Askarov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
65"
Reach
+67"
41
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Benavidez
Askarov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
29.5
51.4
Performance Avg
47.5
38
Quality of Victory
29
40
Momentum Score
83
Benavidez
Askarov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.3
37%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
14
9
Body
5
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
17Distance20
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Benavidez
Askarov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Benavidez
Askarov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/36 fights
Chin rating based on
5/15 fights
Benavidez
Askarov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
83
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Benavidez
Askarov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Benavidez
Askarov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
BenavidezAskarov
Strike Zones
Benavidez
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedAskarov
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Benavidez targets the body (53% of attacks) — Askarov absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Askarov targets the head (70% of attacks) — Benavidez absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Benavidez
RND
Askarov
0/0R00/0
Benavidez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Askarov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Benavidez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Askar AskarovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R2
Jussier FormigaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
Askarov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 4.6Decision
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
Upcoming
Brandon MorenoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09