★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
46%
Griffin
54%
Jackson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jackson
This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 46% vs Jackson at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Griffin throws more volume but Jackson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Griffin
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
73"
47
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
21.5
52.0
Performance Avg
51.1
42
Quality of Victory
44
82
Momentum Score
100
Griffin
Jackson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.9
36%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
7
5
Body
4
9
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance9
3Clinch3
0Ground0
Griffin
Jackson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/26 fights
Chin rating based on
13/49 fights
Griffin
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
100
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
Griffin
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
38%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Jackson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
GriffinJackson
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedJackson
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the legs (41% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Jackson targets the head (58% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Griffin · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Rich FranklinRating 4.5Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
Jackson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Sub · R4
Jon JonesRating 5.2Submission
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 4.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05