UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
Atlanta, USA
30 Jul 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
61%
Krylov
39%
Herman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:40
Nikita
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
31 – 11
6'3"77" reachOrthodox34 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 60
EH
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"
27 – 16
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Krylov

Krylov holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Herman has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Krylov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Krylov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Herman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Krylov
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
77"
34+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Krylov
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.8
38.7
52.7
Performance Avg
47.4
50
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
82
Krylov
Herman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.0
60%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Krylov
Herman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Krylov
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/42 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
Krylov
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
82
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Krylov
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
69%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
5
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Krylov
Herman
Striking5.3 / 4.1Volume2.5 / 3.5Grappling3.7 / 3.8Wrestling2.6 / 2.7Submission4.2 / 3.9Pressure7.5 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Krylov
Strike Zones
Herman
Krylov
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Herman
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Krylov targets the head (67% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Krylov
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Krylov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L5.0W2.1L5.0W5.0W5.6W5.2W5.4W1.5L3.3L5.8W5.9L5.3W7.0L2.2L5.0W5.3W5.4W2.5L3.5L6.3W2013-082016-052020-032025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Herman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W1.8L5.2W4.0L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W6.4L4.4L2006-062009-042014-052019-112023-04
WinLossTrend

Krylov · Last 5

Upcoming
Robert Whittaker
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 5.4
Submission
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Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5
KO/TKO
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News & Media

Nikita Krylov · Ed Herman
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