UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Aug 2025
Bantamweight
VS
64%
Smith
36%
Kazama
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:10
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Smith
Smith holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Kazama has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smith has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kazama has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Smith
Kazama
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
69"
23+
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Kazama
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.9
40.8
66.9
Performance Avg
39.7
45
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
22
Smith
Kazama
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.8
1.3
60%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
36Ground0
Smith
Kazama
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
1.2
Sub Attempts / fight
1.0
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Kazama
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
34
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Smith
Kazama
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
22
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Smith
Kazama
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Kazama
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
SmithKazama
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedKazama
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (95% of attacks) — Kazama absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Kazama
0/0R00/0
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Kazama · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Smith · Last 3
W · Sub · R2
SuYoung YouRating 6.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Toshiomi KazamaRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Vince MoralesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
Kazama · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Elijah SmithRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Sub · R2
Charalampos GrigoriouRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · KO · R1
Garrett ArmfieldRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Rinya NakamuraRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02

