METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn
Phoenix, USA
15 Jan 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
6%
Mihajlovic
94%
Christensen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:05
★ Official Result
Joachim ChristensenwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:05
def. Bojan Mihajlovic · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Christensen
→
Actual result
Christensen wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Christensen is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Christensen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Risk flags
Mihajlovic's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Christensen has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MihajlovicChristensen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+76"
46+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.0
16.4
0.0
Performance Avg
40.0
0
Quality of Victory
50
0
Momentum Score
43
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
7.8
0.0
Style: Volume
0.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
1
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
1Clinch7
0Ground2
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
54
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/20 fights
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
MihajlovicChristensen
Strike Zones
Mihajlovic
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedChristensen
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mihajlovic targets the body (50% of attacks) — Christensen absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Christensen targets the head (50% of attacks) — Mihajlovic absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mihajlovic
RND
Christensen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mihajlovic · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Abdul-Kerim EdilovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
L · KO · R3
Joachim ChristensenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
Christensen · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Gadzhimurad AntigulovSubmission
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
W · KO · R3
Bojan MihajlovicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · Sub · R2
Henrique da SilvaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10