UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn
Phoenix, USA
15 Jan 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
6%
Mihajlovic
94%
Christensen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:05
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Christensen
Christensen is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Christensen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Christensen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mihajlovic's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Christensen has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+76"
46+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.0
16.4
0.0
Performance Avg
40.0
0
Quality of Victory
50
0
Momentum Score
43
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.6
25%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
1
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
1Clinch7
0Ground2
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
54
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/20 fights
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mihajlovic
Christensen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
MihajlovicChristensen
Strike Zones
Mihajlovic
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedChristensen
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mihajlovic targets the body (50% of attacks) — Christensen absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Christensen targets the head (50% of attacks) — Mihajlovic absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mihajlovic
RND
Christensen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mihajlovic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Christensen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Mihajlovic · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Abdul-Kerim EdilovRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
L · KO · R3
Joachim ChristensenRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
Christensen · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Gadzhimurad AntigulovRating 1.5Submission
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
W · KO · R3
Bojan MihajlovicRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · Sub · R2
Henrique da SilvaRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10