METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
19 Mar 2022
Heavyweight
VS
22%
Abdurakhimov
78%
Pavlovich
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:03
★ Official Result
Sergei PavlovichwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:03
def. Shamil Abdurakhimov · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pavlovich
→
Actual result
Pavlovich wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Pavlovich is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pavlovich has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Abdurakhimov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pavlovich has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AbdurakhimovPavlovich
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"
Reach
+84"
45
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
63.5
41.0
Performance Avg
62.0
38
Quality of Victory
53
15
Momentum Score
72
Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
9.3
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
7.7
5.7
Style: Volume
3.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
21
4
Body
0
9
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance6
0Clinch4
0Ground11
Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/28 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
72
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
78%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
AbdurakhimovPavlovich
Strike Zones
Abdurakhimov
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedPavlovich
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Abdurakhimov targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Pavlovich absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Pavlovich targets the head (100% of attacks) — Abdurakhimov absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Abdurakhimov
RND
Pavlovich
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Abdurakhimov · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Chris DaukausKO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesKO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · KO · R2
Marcin TyburaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
Pavlovich · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11