UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
19 Mar 2022
Heavyweight
VS
29%
Abdurakhimov
71%
Pavlovich
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:03
SA
Shamil Abdurakhimov
"Abrek"
20 – 8
6'3"76" reachOrthodox44 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 24
Sergei
Sergei Pavlovich
20 – 3
Knockout Artist2-fight win streak34 yrsSouthpaw84" reach6'3"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pavlovich

Pavlovich is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pavlovich has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Pavlovich has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Abdurakhimov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pavlovich has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"
Reach
+84"
44
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.1
59.8
41.0
Performance Avg
60.6
38
Quality of Victory
53
15
Momentum Score
59
Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
21
4
Body
0
9
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance6
0Clinch4
0Ground11
Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/28 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
59
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Abdurakhimov
Pavlovich
Striking4.9 / 8.9Volume5.7 / 3.5Grappling1.4 / 0.6Wrestling1.0 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.9
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Abdurakhimov
Strike Zones
Pavlovich
Abdurakhimov
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY9LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD0BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Pavlovich
Attacking
21HEAD0BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY9LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Abdurakhimov targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Pavlovich absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Pavlovich targets the head (100% of attacks) — Abdurakhimov absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Abdurakhimov
RND
Pavlovich
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Abdurakhimov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0101.5L4.5W4.5W4.6L5.0W5.2W5.6W3.7L3.1L2.7L4.5L2015-042016-122019-042022-032023-01
WinLossTrend

Pavlovich · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0101.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W6.2W5.4W5.9W3.9L6.8L5.6W6.0W2018-112022-032023-042025-022025-08
WinLossTrend

Abdurakhimov · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Chris DaukausRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · KO · R2
Marcin TyburaRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

Pavlovich · Last 5

Upcoming
Tallison Teixeira
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

News & Media

Shamil Abdurakhimov · Sergei Pavlovich
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