UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Welterweight
VS
43%
Means
57%
Price
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:50
Tim
Tim Means
"The Dirty Bird"
3317
6'2"75" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Niko
Niko Price
"The Hybrid"
1611
Well-Rounded4-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'0"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Price

This is a genuine toss-up — Means at 43% vs Price at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Price throws more volume but Means connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Price has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Means
Price
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
+76"
42
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Price
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
48.4
45.2
Performance Avg
46.0
41
Quality of Victory
49
40
Momentum Score
65
Means
Price
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
21
3
Body
3
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
24Distance23
1Clinch4
6Ground5
Means
Price
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Means
Price
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
6
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Means
Price
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Means
Price
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Means
Price
Striking5.0 / 5.8Volume4.8 / 2.8Grappling2.2 / 2.6Wrestling1.5 / 1.8Submission1.3 / 2.5Pressure5.3 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Means
Strike Zones
Price
Means
Attacking
27HEAD3BODY1LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD3BODY8LEGS32 absorbed
Price
Attacking
21HEAD3BODY8LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD3BODY1LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the head (87% of attacks) — Price absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Price targets the head (66% of attacks) — Means absorbs 66% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Means
RND
Price
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Means · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L6.1L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5W1.9L5.2W5.2W2.8L4.5W6.6L5.5L5.0W2.2L5.0W3.7L4.5W4.5W4.8W3.4L6.1L2.8L5.5W3.3L1.7L2012-022015-042018-112022-102024-10
WinLossTrend

Price · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W4.2L5.2W6.1W3.0L5.1W3.8L5.0W7.0L6.1L4.5W5.1L1.8L4.5W5.9L5.1L1.9L2.3L2016-122018-092021-072024-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Means · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeRating 1.7
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R3
Andre FialhoRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10

Price · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Michael ChiesaRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Sub · R2
Jacobe SmithRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

News & Media

Tim Means · Niko Price
← Back to fights