UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Anaheim, USA
17 Feb 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
66%
Mingyang
34%
Ribeiro
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mingyang
Mingyang holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Ribeiro has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mingyang has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Mingyang has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ribeiro has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Mingyang
Ribeiro
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+81"
27+
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mingyang
Ribeiro
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
75.5
38.2
66.0
Performance Avg
33.8
60
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
54
Mingyang
Ribeiro
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.5
1.3
66%
Strike Accuracy
40%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
14
2
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance14
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Mingyang
Ribeiro
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mingyang
Ribeiro
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
20
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/27 fights
Mingyang
Ribeiro
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
54
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Mingyang
Ribeiro
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mingyang
Ribeiro
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
9.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
1.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
MingyangRibeiro
Strike Zones
Mingyang
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedRibeiro
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mingyang targets the head (76% of attacks) — Ribeiro absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Ribeiro targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mingyang absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mingyang
RND
Ribeiro
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mingyang · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Ribeiro · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Mingyang · Last 5
Upcoming
Alonzo MenifieldUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Ozzy DiazRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Brendson RibeiroRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Ribeiro · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevRating 3.8Submission
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L · KO · R1
Oumar SyRating 2.5KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Diyar NurgozhayRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Caio MachadoRating 4.5Decision
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