UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Aug 2025
Women's Bantamweight
VS
53%
Edwards
47%
Cachoeira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edwards
This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 53% vs Cachoeira at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cachoeira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Cachoeira throws more volume but Edwards connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cachoeira has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Edwards
Cachoeira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
65"
30+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Edwards
Cachoeira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.4
54.7
51.2
Performance Avg
46.6
39
Quality of Victory
52
100
Momentum Score
82
Edwards
Cachoeira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
2.3
54%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
15
5
Body
1
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance18
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Edwards
Cachoeira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.1
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Edwards
Cachoeira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
24
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
14/21 fights
Edwards
Cachoeira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
82
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
Edwards
Cachoeira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Cachoeira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
EdwardsCachoeira
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedCachoeira
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (62% of attacks) — Cachoeira absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Cachoeira targets the head (83% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Cachoeira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Cachoeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Edwards · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R2
Nora CornolleRating 5.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Priscila CachoeiraRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Chelsea ChandlerRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Sub · R3
Tamires VidalRating 6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
Cachoeira · Last 5
Upcoming
Chelsea ChandlerUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Klaudia SygulaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Joselyne EdwardsRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Josiane NunesRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Sub · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 4.9Submission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01