METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3 Aug 2013
Middleweight
VS
56%
Leites
44%
Watson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thales LeiteswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tom Watson · UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Leites
→
Actual result
Leites wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Leites at 56% vs Watson at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Watson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LeitesWatson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Leites
Watson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
73"
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Leites
Watson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
12.7
48.8
Performance Avg
35.4
40
Quality of Victory
40
35
Momentum Score
10
Leites
Watson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.4
39%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
3Clinch2
1Ground0
Leites
Watson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leites
Watson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
90
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Leites
Watson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
10
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Leites
Watson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leites
Watson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
LeitesWatson
Strike Zones
Leites
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedWatson
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the head (71% of attacks) — Watson absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Watson targets the head (75% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leites
RND
Watson
0/0R00/0
Leites · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Watson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Leites · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Watson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08
L · Dec · R3
Rafael NatalRating 5.5Decision
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
Nick CatoneRating 5.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08