METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3 Aug 2013
Middleweight
VS
56%
Leites
44%
Watson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thales LeiteswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tom Watson · UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Leites
→
Actual result
Leites wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Leites at 56% vs Watson at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LeitesWatson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Leites
Watson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
73"
45
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Leites
Watson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
12.7
48.8
Performance Avg
35.4
40
Quality of Victory
40
35
Momentum Score
10
Leites
Watson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
4.4
4.9
Style: Volume
4.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
3Clinch2
1Ground0
Leites
Watson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leites
Watson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
90
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Leites
Watson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
10
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Leites
Watson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leites
Watson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
LeitesWatson
Strike Zones
Leites
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedWatson
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the head (71% of attacks) — Watson absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Watson targets the head (75% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leites
RND
Watson
0/0R00/0
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UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08