METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2
Montreal, Canada
19 Apr 2008
Middleweight
VS
35%
Maia
65%
Herman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:27
DM
Demian Maia
2811
6'1"72" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
EH
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"
2716
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 39
★ Official Result
Demian MaiawinsSubmissionR2 · 2:27
def. Ed Herman · UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Herman
Actual result
Maia wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Herman holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Maia has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Herman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MaiaHerman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Maia
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
72"
Reach
+77"
48
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
38.7
50.8
Performance Avg
47.4
40
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
82
Maia
Herman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
6.4
5.0
Style: Volume
3.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
5Ground6
Maia
Herman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.9
11
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maia
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
Maia
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
82
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Maia
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
69%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
11
Submission Wins
5
10
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
Herman
Striking1.8 / 4.1Volume5.0 / 3.5Grappling5.1 / 3.8Wrestling3.6 / 2.7Submission5.0 / 3.9Pressure5.8 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Maia
Strike Zones
Herman
Maia
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Herman
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (83% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the head (83% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0

Maia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal Muhammad
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert Burns
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben Askren
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco Martin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman Good
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Zak Cummings
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo Menifield
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike Rodriguez
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis Ibragimov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick Cummins
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

News & Media

Demian Maia · Ed Herman
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