UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2
Montreal, Canada
19 Apr 2008
Middleweight
VS
46%
Maia
54%
Herman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:27
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
6'1"72" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
EH
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"
27 – 16
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Herman

This is a genuine toss-up — Maia at 46% vs Herman at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Herman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Herman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Maia
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
72"
Reach
+77"
48
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
38.7
50.8
Performance Avg
47.4
40
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
82
Maia
Herman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
5Ground6
Maia
Herman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
Maia
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
82
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Maia
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
69%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
11
Submission Wins
5
10
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
Herman
Striking1.8 / 4.1Volume5.0 / 3.5Grappling5.1 / 3.8Wrestling3.6 / 2.7Submission5.0 / 3.9Pressure5.8 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Maia
Strike Zones
Herman
Maia
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Herman
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (83% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the head (83% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0

Maia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.4W5.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W5.9W5.0W4.5W5.5L6.8L6.6L5.0W4.5W5.2W1.7L6.6L2007-102010-122014-052018-052021-06
WinLossTrend

Herman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W1.8L5.2W4.0L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W6.4L4.4L2006-062009-042014-052019-112023-04
WinLossTrend

Maia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

News & Media

Demian Maia · Ed Herman
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