UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
8 Mar 2025
Flyweight
VS
64%
Van
36%
Tsuruya
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Joshua
Joshua Van
"The Fearless"
17 – 2
5'5"65" reachOrthodox24 yrs7-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 68
Rei
Rei Tsuruya
10 – 1
Well-Rounded23 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Van

Van holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Tsuruya has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Van has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Van has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Van
Tsuruya
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
65"
Reach
+68"
24
Age
+23
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Van
Tsuruya
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.8
38.7
62.6
Performance Avg
35.0
44
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
46
Van
Tsuruya
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.0
0.4
59%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
13
8
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
24Distance15
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Van
Tsuruya
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Van
Tsuruya
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Van
Tsuruya
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Van
Tsuruya
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Van
Tsuruya
Striking5.8 / 1.0Volume6.6 / 9.0Grappling1.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Van
Strike Zones
Tsuruya
Van
Attacking
16HEAD8BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY1LEGS15 absorbed
Tsuruya
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY1LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD8BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Van targets the head (67% of attacks) — Tsuruya absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Tsuruya targets the head (87% of attacks) — Van absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Van
RND
Tsuruya
0/0R00/0

Van · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.5W5.9W4.9L5.5W4.6W4.7W6.4W5.3W6.3W7.2W2023-062024-072025-032025-122026-05
WinLossTrend

Tsuruya · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0104.5W7.1L2024-062025-03
WinLossTrend

Van · Last 5

W · KO · R5
Tatsuro TairaRating 7.2
KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Rei TsuruyaRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03

Tsuruya · Last 3

Upcoming
Jesus Aguilar
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Joshua VanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Carlos HernandezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

News & Media

Joshua Van · Rei Tsuruya
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