UFC 90: Silva vs Cote
Rosemont, USA
25 Oct 2008
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Santos
52%
Werdum
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:21
JD
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
21 – 9
6'4"77" reachOrthodox42 yrs4-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
FW
Fabricio Werdum
"Vai Cavalo"
24 – 9
Well-Rounded48 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Werdum

This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 48% vs Werdum at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Werdum connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Werdum has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Santos
Werdum
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
77"
Reach
77"
42+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Werdum
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
20.4
57.8
Performance Avg
57.8
53
Quality of Victory
52
59
Momentum Score
72
Santos
Werdum
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
53%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
10 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
1
Body
0
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
3Distance5
0Clinch1
4Ground0
Santos
Werdum
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Werdum
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
28
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/30 fights
Chin rating based on
18/33 fights
Santos
Werdum
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
72
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
Santos
Werdum
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
10
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Werdum
Striking8.0 / 4.7Volume4.0 / 4.0Grappling0.8 / 3.5Wrestling0.6 / 2.4Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure6.6 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Santos
Strike Zones
Werdum
Santos
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY5LEGS6 absorbed
Werdum
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY5LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (71% of attacks) — Werdum absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Werdum targets the legs (83% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Werdum
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.1W5.5L5.5W4.0L5.6W2.8L4.5W2.6L4.5W5.5W6.3W1.9L3.1L3.8L4.5L2008-102011-062014-122019-032020-12
WinLossTrend

Werdum · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.2L5.2W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.1W4.5W5.1W5.2W2.6L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.9W4.6L5.5L5.0W2007-042012-062016-052018-032020-07
WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03

Werdum · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R4
Alexander VolkovRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Marcin TyburaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
W · Sub · R1
Walt HarrisRating 5
Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10

News & Media

Junior Dos Santos · Fabricio Werdum
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