METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Rodriguez
49%
Marques
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:52
★ Official Result
Danilo MarqueswinsSubmissionR2 · 4:52
def. Mike Rodriguez · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
→
Actual result
Marques wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 51% vs Marques at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Rodriguez throws more volume but Marques connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Rodriguez's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marques has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RodriguezMarques
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rodriguez
Marques
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'6"
82"+
Reach
77"
37+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Marques
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.6
25.5
47.4
Performance Avg
42.3
60
Quality of Victory
37
26
Momentum Score
57
Rodriguez
Marques
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
1.0
58%
Strike Accuracy
90%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
24
0
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
1Clinch0
0Ground24
Rodriguez
Marques
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rodriguez
Marques
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Rodriguez
Marques
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
57
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Marques
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Marques
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
RodriguezMarques
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedMarques
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Marques absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Marques targets the head (92% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Marques
0/0R00/0
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Marques · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tafon NchukwiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · Sub · R2
Danilo MarquesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · Sub · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Marcin PrachnioRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Da Woon JungRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
Marques · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · KO · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
W · Sub · R2
Mike RodriguezRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09