METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Hamburg, Germany
22 Jul 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
27%
Ledet
73%
Rakic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Aleksandar RakicwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Justin Ledet · UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rakic
→
Actual result
Rakic wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Rakic is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Ledet's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rakic has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LedetRakic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ledet
Rakic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"+
Reach
78"
37
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ledet
Rakic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.5
38.3
37.9
Performance Avg
44.3
35
Quality of Victory
35
53
Momentum Score
30
Ledet
Rakic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
3.8
6.2
Style: Volume
6.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
20
0
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch2
0Ground19
Ledet
Rakic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ledet
Rakic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Ledet
Rakic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
30
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Ledet
Rakic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ledet
Rakic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
LedetRakic
Strike Zones
Ledet
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedRakic
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ledet targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rakic absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Rakic targets the head (83% of attacks) — Ledet absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ledet
RND
Rakic
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ledet · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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Johnny WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Azunna AnyanwuDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
Rakic · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
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L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R3
Jan BlachowiczKO/TKO
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