METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson
Ottawa, Canada
18 Jun 2016
Women's Strawweight
VS
87%
Markos
13%
Jones-Lybarger
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Randa MarkoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger · UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Markos
→
Actual result
Markos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Markos is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Markos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Risk flags
Markos's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MarkosJones-Lybarger
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Markos
Jones-Lybarger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
63"
Reach
+64"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Markos
Jones-Lybarger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.7
2.4
34.0
Performance Avg
0.0
29
Quality of Victory
0
15
Momentum Score
0
Markos
Jones-Lybarger
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
7.7
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
21
0
Body
0
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
25Distance26
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Markos
Jones-Lybarger
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Markos
Jones-Lybarger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
3/10 fights
Markos
Jones-Lybarger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Markos
Jones-Lybarger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Markos
Jones-Lybarger
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MarkosJones-Lybarger
Strike Zones
Markos
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedJones-Lybarger
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Markos targets the head (96% of attacks) — Jones-Lybarger absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Jones-Lybarger targets the head (81% of attacks) — Markos absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Markos
RND
Jones-Lybarger
0/0R00/0
Markos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R1
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L · Dec · R3
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Jones-Lybarger · Last 3
L · Sub · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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