UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Memphis, USA
12 Dec 2009
Welterweight
VS
92%
Hendricks
8%
Funch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hendricks
Hendricks is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hendricks has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Striking split: Hendricks throws more volume but Funch connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hendricks's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Funch has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hendricks
Funch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+74"
42+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Hendricks
Funch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
1.5
48.2
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
80
Momentum Score
0
Hendricks
Funch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
1
2
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
6Clinch1
8Ground0
Hendricks
Funch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hendricks
Funch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Hendricks
Funch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Hendricks
Funch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hendricks
Funch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HendricksFunch
Strike Zones
Hendricks
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedFunch
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hendricks targets the head (82% of attacks) — Funch absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Funch targets the head (33% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hendricks
RND
Funch
0/0R00/0
Hendricks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Funch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Hendricks · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
Funch · Last 4
L · Sub · R3
Dan MillerRating 4Submission
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
L · Sub · R2
Claude PatrickRating 2.8Submission
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5Decision
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12