METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter
Hollywood, USA
10 Oct 2006
Welterweight
VS
66%
Davis
34%
Petz
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:58
MD
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Marcus DaviswinsSubmissionR1 · 4:58
def. Forrest Petz · Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Davis
→
Actual result
Davis wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Davis holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Petz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Davis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Risk flags
Davis's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Petz has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DavisPetz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Davis
Petz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+71"
53
Age
+50
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Petz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
9.7
52.8
Performance Avg
26.4
48
Quality of Victory
25
56
Momentum Score
30
Davis
Petz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
0.9
3.0
Style: Volume
8.6
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
2
8
Body
2
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance1
20Clinch4
8Ground0
Davis
Petz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Davis
Petz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/33 fights
Chin rating based on
7/36 fights
Davis
Petz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Davis
Petz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Davis
Petz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
DavisPetz
Strike Zones
Davis
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedPetz
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (52% of attacks) — Petz absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Petz targets the head (40% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Davis
RND
Petz
0/0R00/0
Davis · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jeremy StephensKO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Sub · R3
Nate DiazSubmission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletKO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersKO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyDecision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
Petz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Brian FosterKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RobertsDecision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanDecision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
W · Dec · R3
Luigi FioravantiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher · 2007-06
L · Dec · R3
Kuniyoshi HironakaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04