METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Perth, Australia
2 May 2026
Flyweight
VS
48%
Elliott
52%
Erceg
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Steve ErcegwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tim Elliott · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Erceg
→
Actual result
Erceg wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Elliott at 48% vs Erceg at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Erceg has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ElliottErceg
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Elliott
Erceg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+68"
39
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Elliott
Erceg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.9
40.1
38.0
Performance Avg
40.8
33
Quality of Victory
31
43
Momentum Score
45
Elliott
Erceg
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
3.1
6.5
Style: Volume
7.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
57
2
Body
8
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
24Distance64
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Elliott
Erceg
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Elliott
Erceg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/36 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
Elliott
Erceg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
45
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Elliott
Erceg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elliott
Erceg
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
ElliottErceg
Strike Zones
Elliott
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
65 absorbedErceg
Attacking
65 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the head (58% of attacks) — Erceg absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Erceg targets the head (88% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elliott
RND
Erceg
0/0R00/0
Elliott · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegDecision
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Erceg · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ramazan TemirovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottDecision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Ode OsbourneDecision
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L · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Kai Kara-FranceKO/TKO
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