UFC 79: Nemesis
Las Vegas, USA
29 Dec 2007
Middleweight
VS
91%
Lister
9%
Radev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DL
Dean Lister
"The Boogeyman"
13 – 7
6'1"75" reachOrthodox50 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
JR
Jordan Radev
23 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide49 yrsSouthpaw5'7"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lister

Lister is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lister has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Lister has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Lister
Radev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'7"
75"
Reach
50
Age
+49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lister
Radev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
2.1
50.4
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
75
Momentum Score
0
Lister
Radev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.3
31%
Strike Accuracy
26%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
1
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance3
1Clinch2
2Ground0
Lister
Radev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lister
Radev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/28 fights
Lister
Radev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Lister
Radev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lister
Radev
Striking1.3 / 0.0Volume5.3 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Lister
Strike Zones
Radev
Lister
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Radev
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lister targets the head (63% of attacks) — Radev absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Radev targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lister absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lister
RND
Radev
0/0R00/0

Lister · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L2006-052006-082007-012007-122008-062008-12
WinLossTrend

Radev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0101.5L5.5L2007-062007-12
WinLossTrend

Lister · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008 · 2008-12
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy HornRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
W · Dec · R3
Jordan RadevRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
W · Dec · R3
Yuki SasakiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night 6 · 2006-08

Radev · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Dean ListerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · KO · R1
Drew McFedriesRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher · 2007-06

News & Media

Dean Lister · Jordan Radev
← Back to fights