METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2023
Featherweight
VS
58%
Algeo
42%
Brown
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:40
★ Official Result
Bill AlgeowinsSubmissionR2 · 1:40
def. TJ Brown · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Algeo
→
Actual result
Algeo wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Algeo at 58% vs Brown at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Algeo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlgeoBrown
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Algeo
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
72"
37
Age
+36
Switch
Stance
Switch
Algeo
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
27.8
41.5
Performance Avg
34.0
36
Quality of Victory
32
51
Momentum Score
40
Algeo
Brown
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
3.5
5.8
Style: Volume
6.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
6
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance6
3Clinch1
11Ground0
Algeo
Brown
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Algeo
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/27 fights
Chin rating based on
8/28 fights
Algeo
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Algeo
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Algeo
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
AlgeoBrown
Strike Zones
Algeo
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedBrown
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Algeo targets the head (95% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (86% of attacks) — Algeo absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Algeo
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Algeo · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dooho ChoiKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Sub · R2
TJ BrownSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
Brown · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Darren ElkinsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Sub · R2
Bill AlgeoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Sub · R3
Erik SilvaSubmission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaDecision
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