UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2023
Featherweight
VS
58%
Algeo
42%
Brown
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:40
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Algeo
This is a genuine toss-up — Algeo at 58% vs Brown at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Algeo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Algeo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Algeo
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Switch
Algeo
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
27.8
41.5
Performance Avg
34.0
36
Quality of Victory
32
51
Momentum Score
40
Algeo
Brown
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.0
49%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
6
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance6
3Clinch1
11Ground0
Algeo
Brown
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Algeo
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/27 fights
Chin rating based on
8/28 fights
Algeo
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Algeo
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Algeo
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
AlgeoBrown
Strike Zones
Algeo
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedBrown
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Algeo targets the head (95% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (86% of attacks) — Algeo absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Algeo
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Algeo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Algeo · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dooho ChoiRating 4.5KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 1.6KO/TKO
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Alexander HernandezRating 5.4Decision
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W · Sub · R2
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L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
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Brown · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 4.5Submission
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L · Sub · R2
Bill AlgeoRating 3Submission
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W · Sub · R3
Erik SilvaRating 5.5Submission
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L · Dec · R3
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