UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller
Atlantic City, USA
16 Jul 2014
Lightweight
VS
88%
Tibau
12%
Healy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tibau
Tibau is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tibau has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Healy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tibau's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tibau
Healy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+72"
42
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tibau
Healy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
2.2
43.2
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
74
Momentum Score
0
Tibau
Healy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.2
35%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
16
3
Body
10
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance16
4Clinch11
2Ground0
Tibau
Healy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tibau
Healy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/47 fights
Chin rating based on
6/57 fights
Tibau
Healy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Tibau
Healy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tibau
Healy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TibauHealy
Strike Zones
Tibau
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedHealy
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tibau targets the head (83% of attacks) — Healy absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Healy targets the head (59% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tibau
RND
Healy
0/0R00/0
Tibau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Healy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Tibau · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 4UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
Healy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne · 2014-04
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
Upcoming
Jim MillerUFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04