METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 65: Bad Intentions
Sacramento, USA
18 Nov 2006
Welterweight
VS
65%
Diaz
35%
Tibau
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:27
★ Official Result
Nick DiazwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:27
def. Gleison Tibau · UFC 65: Bad Intentions
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Diaz wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Tibau has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diaz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Diaz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tibau has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiazTibau
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diaz
Tibau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
71"
42
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Diaz
Tibau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
15.4
49.6
Performance Avg
43.2
49
Quality of Victory
34
46
Momentum Score
74
Diaz
Tibau
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
35%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
12Ground0
Diaz
Tibau
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Diaz
Tibau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/36 fights
Chin rating based on
28/47 fights
Diaz
Tibau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
74
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Diaz
Tibau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
31%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Tibau
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
DiazTibau
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTibau
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Tibau
0/0R00/0
Diaz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Tibau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Diaz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Robbie LawlerRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Upcoming
Anderson SilvaUFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R5
Georges St-PierreRating 5.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
Tibau · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 4UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01