METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
1 Aug 2015
Heavyweight
VS
52%
Struve
48%
Nogueira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AR
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Stefan StruvewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira · UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Struve
→
Actual result
Struve wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Struve at 52% vs Nogueira at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Struve has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Struve's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nogueira has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StruveNogueira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Struve
Nogueira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'11"+
Height
6'3"
84"+
Reach
77"
38+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Struve
Nogueira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
19.4
51.7
Performance Avg
49.3
50
Quality of Victory
52
98
Momentum Score
91
Struve
Nogueira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
1.2
52%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
13
13
Body
5
11
Leg
1
RangeRange
43Distance15
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Struve
Nogueira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Struve
Nogueira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/46 fights
Chin rating based on
11/44 fights
Struve
Nogueira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Struve
Nogueira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Struve
Nogueira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
4.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
StruveNogueira
Strike Zones
Struve
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedNogueira
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Struve targets the head (47% of attacks) — Nogueira absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Nogueira targets the head (68% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Struve
RND
Nogueira
0/0R00/0
Struve · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Nogueira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Struve · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
Nogueira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Stefan StruveRating 5.5Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Roy NelsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
L · Sub · R2
Fabricio WerdumRating 2.1Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Sub · R2
Dave HermanRating 5.2Submission
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · Sub · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5Submission
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12