METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 79: Nemesis
Las Vegas, USA
29 Dec 2007
Welterweight
VS
50%
Carneiro
50%
DeSouza
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:33
★ Official Result
Roan CarneirowinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:33
def. Tony DeSouza · UFC 79: Nemesis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Carneiro
→
Actual result
Carneiro wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Carneiro at 50% vs DeSouza at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Carneiro's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
DeSouza has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CarneiroDeSouza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Carneiro
DeSouza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
76"+
Reach
70"
48+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Carneiro
DeSouza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
15.9
41.6
Performance Avg
46.6
40
Quality of Victory
44
59
Momentum Score
40
Carneiro
DeSouza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
6.2
4.9
Style: Volume
3.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
2
0
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
2Clinch2
12Ground0
Carneiro
DeSouza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Carneiro
DeSouza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
34
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/32 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Carneiro
DeSouza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Carneiro
DeSouza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Carneiro
DeSouza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
CarneiroDeSouza
Strike Zones
Carneiro
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedDeSouza
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Carneiro targets the head (83% of attacks) — DeSouza absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯DeSouza targets the head (100% of attacks) — Carneiro absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Carneiro
RND
DeSouza
0/0R00/0
Carneiro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonKO/TKO
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W · Sub · R1
Mark MunozSubmission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Ryo ChonanDecision
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
DeSouza · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Roan CarneiroKO/TKO
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesKO/TKO
UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2 · 2006-12
W · Sub · R1
Dustin HazelettSubmission
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter · 2006-10
L · KO · R2
Jutaro NakaoKO/TKO
UFC 33: Victory in Vegas · 2001-09
W · Sub · R1
Paul RodriguezSubmission
UFC 32: Showdown in the Meadowlands · 2001-06